The Independent Director Committee (the "Committee”) of Alcon,
Inc. (NYSE: ACL)
today announced that it formally responded to the January 4 proposal
from Novartis AG ("Novartis”) to attempt to acquire the minority
publicly traded shares of Alcon pursuant to a compulsory merger under
Swiss law. In its letter to Dr. Daniel Vasella, Chairman and CEO of
Novartis and an Alcon Board member, the Committee stated that based on,
among other things, advice from its independent financial advisor, it
had determined that the price and other terms proposed by Novartis are
grossly inadequate and that the financial analysis upon which Novartis’
unilateral proposal is based is fundamentally flawed.
The Committee also announced that the coercive tactics deployed by
Novartis are offensive and demonstrate a profound disrespect for Alcon’s
minority shareholders, many of whom are employees who, for more than 60
years, created the value in Alcon. The Novartis proposal would
inequitably and unfairly distribute that value to its two largest
shareholders, which is neither befitting a company of Novartis’ stature
nor equitable to the Alcon shareholders, many of whom have been
long-term investors since the initial public offering in 2002. The
Committee notes that Alcon employees are one of the largest minority
shareholders.
The Committee reached this decision after a careful review of the terms
and financial aspects of Novartis’ proposal and analysis of information
provided by Alcon and its senior management team about the company’s
past and anticipated financial performance, growth prospects and merger
synergy opportunities. The Committee worked closely with its independent
financial and legal advisors, Greenhill & Co., Sullivan & Cromwell LLP
and Pestalozzi, Zurich, in undertaking its analysis.
Novartis proposed acquiring Alcon shares at a price of 2.8 shares of
Novartis for each share of Alcon through a compulsory merger
transaction. As of January 19, 2010, the proposal is valued at $151.43
per Alcon share due to the decline in Novartis’ stock price,
significantly below the $180 in cash that will be paid by Novartis to
acquire its majority position.
Thomas G. Plaskett, Chairman of the Committee, said, "The Committee
strongly believes that the underlying historical record and Management’s
expected future financial performance of Alcon justify a significantly
higher price than that reflected in the current proposal by Novartis.
Moreover, minority shareholders have rights accorded to them that must
be respected.”
Plaskett added, "We understand and are concerned that the current
situation is disconcerting to the highly valuable employee asset base at
Alcon, many of whom are shareholders, and we appreciate their continuing
hard work and dedication as we work through these issues at the Board
level.”
The Committee believes that the financial methodology used by Novartis
intentionally ignored Alcon’s documented market and operational
performance, including Alcon’s history of trading at a premium valuation
compared to its peers. The market has consistently recognized and
awarded Alcon a premium for its attractive fundamentals, industry
leadership and outperformance of quarterly earnings expectations 26 out
of 29 times since its 2002 IPO.
The Committee also recognizes that the price offered to public
shareholders is substantially lower than that which will be paid to
Nestlé for the controlling stake, which is virtually unprecedented in
the recent history of similar transactions.
The Committee also reiterates its disappointment with Novartis’ public
implication that Novartis can essentially force Alcon’s minority
shareholders to accept the terms of its proposal. In fact, the Committee
believes that Swiss law and Alcon’s Organizational Regulations
specifically protect minority rights by requiring that a committee of
independent directors approve a proposed merger with a majority
shareholder. The Committee believes those rights were reaffirmed and
strengthened by Alcon’s full board of directors as recently as December
2008 when, following Novartis’ initial purchase from Nestlé of an
approximately 25 percent stake in Alcon, the Alcon Board of Directors
approved the formation of a standing committee of independent directors
whose stated purpose is to protect the minority shareholders. Dr.
Vasella, the Novartis representative on the Alcon Board, was a board
member at the time and approved the formation of the Committee.
Plaskett continued, "Advocates of sound corporate governance and
well-established principles of fairness and equity in both Switzerland
and the U.S. are rightly offended by Novartis’ coercive attempts to take
advantage of the Alcon minority shareholders. The Committee will
evaluate and take all appropriate and available steps to ensure that the
rights of Alcon’s minority shareholders are not trampled on in the
manner proposed by Novartis.”
The Committee also believes that Swiss law and Alcon’s organizational
documents require directors to recuse themselves from decisions on which
they are conflicted, which means that the non-independent
Novartis-appointed directors would be required to abstain from any Alcon
Board decision as to whether or not to approve Novartis’ merger
proposal. Likewise, conflicted directors would also be required to
abstain from voting with respect to the replacement of any Committee
members and any other action taken with the purpose of circumventing the
authority of the truly independent Committee members to accept or reject
the merger proposal.
The Committee has posted additional information including answers to
frequently asked questions, a summary of its financial analysis, and
links to the Swiss Code of Obligations, the Swiss Merger Act and the
Alcon Organizational Regulations on their Web site: www.transactioninfo.com/alcon.
Investor Conference Call/Webcast
The Committee will host a conference call and webcast for Alcon
investors on Wednesday, January 20 at 8:30 am Eastern Time. The
conference call can be accessed at +1 866 831 6272 (domestic) and +1 617
213 8859 (international). The participant passcode is 63612961. The
webcast can be accessed on the investor relations section of Alcon’s Web
site www.alcon.com.
A replay of the conference call will also be available for one week. The
replay dial-in number is +1 888 286 8010 (domestic) and +1 617 801 6888
(international). The replay passcode is 52559963.
The following letter has been sent to Dr. Vasella:
Novartis AG
Lichtstrasse 35
4056 Basel
Switzerland
Attention: Dr. Daniel Vasella, Chairman and CEO
January 20, 2010
Dr. Vasella,
I am writing to you on behalf of the Independent Director Committee (the
"Committee”) of the Alcon, Inc. ("Alcon”)
Board of Directors in response to the January 4th proposal by Novartis
AG ("Novartis”) to attempt to
squeeze-out Alcon’s minority shareholders in a compulsory merger in
which each Alcon share would be exchanged for 2.8 shares of Novartis
stock (the "Novartis Merger Proposal”),
which is currently valued at approximately US$151.43 per Alcon share in
Novartis shares (as compared to the US$180 in cash that Novartis has
agreed to pay Nestlé AG ("Nestlé”)).
Response to Novartis Merger Proposal
After careful consideration with its independent financial and legal
advisors, the Committee has determined that the Novartis Merger Proposal
is grossly inadequate, that the analysis underlying the Novartis Merger
Proposal is fundamentally flawed and that the Novartis Merger Proposal
is not in the best interests of Alcon and its minority shareholders. For
these reasons, as more fully explained below and in the attached
"Summary of Financial Analysis” exhibit, the Committee rejects the
Novartis Merger Proposal.
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The Committee believes, based on the advice of its independent
financial advisor, Greenhill & Co., that the fundamental value of
Alcon on a standalone basis significantly exceeds the price that
Novartis has offered.
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The Committee believes that Alcon’s "unaffected share price” is
significantly greater than the US$137 share price asserted by Novartis
and that the analysis that Novartis employs to support such assertion
is fundamentally flawed.
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As described in the attached Summary of Financial Analysis,
Novartis’ "Methodology 1” applies price-to-earnings ratios across
inconsistent time periods. Correcting this misleading approach
would produce a range of implied unaffected share prices that
approximates the US$164.35 closing price of Alcon as of December
31, 2009.
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Novartis’ "Methodology 2” asserts that Alcon should trade in line
with a number of broad healthcare stock indices, ignoring the fact
that, since its IPO in 2002, Alcon has consistently outperformed
every one of the 12 indices that Novartis cited (both through
April 4, 2008 and since).
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Novartis’ "Methodology 3” selectively chooses comments from the
equity analyst community in an attempt to demonstrate support for
Novartis’ viewpoint, highlighting three analysts (of 12 who cover
Alcon) who refer to an unaffected share price that approximates
US$137. While not all analysts covering Alcon comment on
unaffected share price, seven of the eight analysts (including the
three cited by Novartis) who express a view of the expected
Novartis squeeze-out price cite prices of US$181 or greater.
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Based on input from Alcon’s management, the Committee believes that
Novartis has understated achievable synergies in the transaction, by
failing to quantify the significant revenue synergies that exist.
Additionally, Novartis has overstated its ability to realize cost
synergies absent a full combination and Novartis does not accord the
minority shareholders any
synergy value.
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The Committee disagrees with Novartis’ assertion that a 12% premium
to the unaffected share price is "very much in line with what minority
shareholders in similar transactions have received.”
-
A review of the approximately 250 squeeze-out transactions (of
US$100 million in size or greater) that were announced over the
past decade shows that the final premium paid for the minority
shares over the share price one week and one month prior to
announcement were 27% and 30% on average, respectively, with
median values of 18% and 21%, respectively.
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Indeed, Novartis itself set a precedent in 2005 when it paid a
premium of approximately 25% to the unaffected share price to
squeeze-out the minority shareholders of Eon Labs, which also
represented a premium of 9% to the price paid for the majority
stake.
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In addition to undervaluing Alcon’s minority shares, the Committee
notes the compulsory nature of Novartis’ proposal.
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Due to the uncertainties in value inherent in using equity (as
opposed to cash) as transaction currency, the Committee views
Novartis’ proposal to exchange its shares for Alcon shares as inferior
to the terms offered to Nestlé.
In summary, the Committee, after careful consideration with its
independent financial advisor, has concluded that Novartis has
dramatically understated Alcon’s "unaffected share price” and that the
premium that should be applied to such share price is significantly
higher than the 12% proposed by Novartis.
Role of, and Effect on, the Alcon
Employees
Alcon’s employees are its greatest asset and it is only through their
hard work and unparalleled talent that Alcon became the successful
company that you praised when Novartis first acquired its stake in Alcon
in April 2008 and again when Novartis exercised its call option to
acquire Nestlé’s remaining stake in Alcon at a price of US$180 in cash
per Alcon share. These employees are extremely loyal to, and are highly
invested in, Alcon, collectively owning millions of Alcon shares through
various types of employee stock ownership plans, making the Alcon
employees one of the largest minority shareholders. These employees can
observe that Novartis’ proposal inequitably and unfairly distributes the
value created by such employees over time to Alcon’s two largest
shareholders, at the expense of all minority shareholders.
Role of the Independent Director
Committee
As a member of the Alcon Board of Directors that approved our
Committee’s formation and charter in December 2008, you are well aware
that the Committee’s stated purpose is to act as a disinterested body
with respect to related party transactions involving major shareholders
of Alcon (such as Novartis) and to protect the interests of Alcon and
the minority shareholders of Alcon in this type of transaction.
Our review and analysis over the past few weeks confirms the view
expressed in the Committee’s January 4th press release that the Novartis
Merger Proposal amounts to an attempt to circumvent the minority
shareholder protections accorded by Swiss law and embodied in Alcon’s
Organizational Regulations. After further review with our legal
advisors, the Committee has reached the determination that Novartis
cannot unilaterally impose the terms of the Novartis Merger Proposal on
the minority shareholders without the approval of a disinterested body
of directors. By operation of Article VIII of the Organizational
Regulations and relevant provisions of Swiss law, including Article 717
of the Code of Obligations, any conflicted directors, which would
include the non-independent directors appointed by Novartis, would be
required to abstain from voting with respect to matters relating to the
Novartis Merger Proposal. This fundamental protection was implemented to
protect minority shareholders against potential coercive actions that
could be taken by controlling shareholders, and the Committee is
disappointed that Novartis appears to be attempting to flout such
protections so brazenly.
You and the Novartis management team appear to have publicly implied
that Novartis will simply replace the members of the Committee once
Novartis consummates its purchase of Nestlé’s remaining Alcon shares if
we do not agree with Novartis’ assessment of the fairness of the
Novartis Merger Proposal to the minority shareholders. Obviously, we do
not believe that this strategy works, and note that any attempted
actions to effect it (such as replacing the members of the Committee,
changing the Committee’s composition or otherwise stripping protections
for the minority shareholders in the Organizational Regulations) would
result in the same conflict of interest noted above in respect of the
Novartis Merger Proposal and, as such, the conflicted directors would be
required to abstain from voting with respect to such actions.
It is important that you understand that the Committee’s response today
is only the first of potentially many steps that the Committee may take
in the fulfillment of its obligations to defend Alcon and the minority
shareholders pursuant to Alcon’s organizational documents and Swiss law.
In response to the feedback and questions that we have received from
myriad shareholders, the Committee has prepared responses to Frequently
Asked Questions, which detail the legal hurdles that Novartis faces in
any attempt to unilaterally impose the terms of the Novartis Merger
Proposal on the minority shareholders, even after the point at which
this becomes a "different game,” to use your words.
Conclusion
As I am sure you will appreciate, the Committee has committed to make
its views with respect to the Novartis Merger Proposal known to all of
the minority shareholders, and is therefore including this letter in the
materials that it is making publicly available today. We believe that it
is in everyone’s interests to resolve this matter in an expeditious and
equitable manner.
Sincerely,
Thomas G. Plaskett
Summary of Financial Analysis
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The Committee believes, based on the advice of its independent
financial advisor, Greenhill & Co., that the fundamental value of
Alcon on a standalone basis significantly exceeds the price that
Novartis has offered.
-
A discounted cash flow analysis of management’s strategic plan
supports a meaningfully higher standalone value (i.e., before
considering synergies or squeeze-out premium).
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The Committee has great confidence in Alcon management’s ability
to execute its strategic plan.
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Alcon is viewed as a unique investment opportunity by the market
and has consistently been rewarded with a premium valuation to its
peers since its 2002 IPO.
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Alcon is the clear market leader in nearly all of its
businesses (surgical, pharmaceutical, and consumer) and has
developed the largest global sales and marketing
infrastructure in ophthalmology.
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Alcon is the only public company of scale that focuses almost
exclusively on ophthalmology.
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The eye care sector enjoys strong growth opportunities in
emerging markets due to the attractive cost/benefit of
cataract surgery and rising incomes, and is less susceptible
to reimbursement pressure in the US due to its geographic and
channel diversity.
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Alcon has exceeded analyst estimates 26 of 29 quarters since
its IPO.
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Alcon’s shares closed at US$164.35 on the trading day prior to
Novartis’ announcement.
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As of January 19, 2010, Novartis’ offer represents a discount of
16% to the US$180 per share that Novartis is paying Nestlé for
control.
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The Committee believes that Alcon’s "unaffected share price” is
significantly greater than Novartis contends.
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Alcon’s share price rose steadily throughout 2009; while Novartis
asserts that this was driven by speculation in Alcon’s shares, it
coincided with positive earnings surprises in every quarter and
progressively increasing future earnings expectations among
analysts (see attached annex).
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Alcon has seen no appreciable spikes in trading volume, which
might indicate speculation, other than on a single date in
December when an equity analyst wrote a report about a potential
squeeze-out.
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The report was preceded by comments from Novartis CFO Raymund
Breu on October 22, 2009 indicating no plans to execute a
squeeze-out of the minority shareholders.
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The Committee believes that the analysis that Novartis employs to
support its assertion that Alcon’s unaffected share price is US$137 is
fundamentally flawed.
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Novartis’ "Methodology 1” asserts that Alcon should trade at a
similar or lower price-to-earnings ratio than it did in April 2008
(prior to the announcement of the Nestlé/Novartis transaction).
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However, Novartis calculates the 2010E price-to-earnings ratio
as of April 2008 (i.e. a 3-year forward multiple) and applies
that same multiple to 2010E expected earnings today (i.e., a
1-year forward earnings estimate), ignoring the fact that
nearly two years have passed since April 2008, and that 3-year
forward multiples are typically lower than 1-year forward
multiples for high-growth companies.
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For instance, in the Novartis example, Alcon traded at the
following forward multiples of earnings as of April 2008 (note
that each successive year results in a 2x–3x multiple decline
due to higher earnings expectations year-over-year)1:
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2008E (1-year forward multiple) – 22.7x
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2009E (2-year forward multiple ) – 19.8x
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2010E (3-year forward multiple ) – 17.7x
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2011E (4-year forward multiple ) – 15.8x
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Novartis should have applied multiples across comparable time
periods (e.g., the one-year forward 2008 multiple in April
2008 should now be applied to Alcon’s (one-year forward) 2010
earnings estimate).
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Correcting Novartis’ analysis in this fashion produces a range
of unaffected stock prices that approximates the US$164.35
closing price of Alcon on December 31, 2009.
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Nor do we agree (for reasons enumerated under the first bullet
point above) that Alcon should have experienced the same
multiple contraction as other healthcare companies have
experienced since April 2008.
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Novartis’ "Methodology 2” asserts that Alcon should trade in line
with a number of broad healthcare stock indices, ignoring the fact
that since its IPO in 2002, Alcon has consistently outperformed
every one of the 12 indices that Novartis cited.
Refer to Chart 1 - Indexed Share Price Performance of Alcon vs. Major
Indices2
Alcon has outperformed major
healthcare indices from IPO through 4/4/08
1 Multiples based on Alcon’s 3-month VWAP of US$143.18 as of
April 4, 2008.
2 Includes only the indices referenced in
the Novartis analysis entitled "Summary Assessment of Alcon’s Unaffected
Share Price” that have existed since Alcon’s initial public offering.
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Since the time of Alcon’s IPO (or the inception of the index,
if more recent) to April 4, 2008, Alcon outperformed the
indices by over 20 percentage points on a compound annual
basis, on average.
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The market has consistently rewarded Alcon with a premium
valuation because of the reasons discussed under the first
bullet point above.
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Novartis’ "Methodology 3” selectively chooses comments from the
equity analyst community in an attempt to demonstrate support for
Novartis’ view, highlighting three analysts (of 12 who cover
Alcon) who discussed an unaffected share price that approximates
US$137, while ignoring these same analysts’ views of the
appropriate price to be paid for the minority shares.
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Analysts Cited by Novartis
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Reference to Takeout Price
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Synergy Estimate
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BMO Capital Markets
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UBS
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JP Morgan
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Moreover, 7 of the 8 analysts (including the three cited by
Novartis) who express a view on the expected Novartis
squeeze-out price cite prices of US$181 or greater.
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Based on input from Alcon’s management, the Committee believes that
Novartis has understated achievable synergies in the transaction, by
failing to quantify the significant revenue synergies that exist.
Additionally, Novartis has overstated its ability to realize cost
synergies absent a full combination and Novartis does not accord the
minority shareholders any
synergy value.
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In addition to the US$300 million of cost synergies cited by
Novartis, the Committee believes that there is an even greater
amount of revenue synergies, none of which appear to be reflected
in the Novartis proposal.
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The Committee does not believe that Novartis can achieve
two-thirds of the potential synergies without total ownership of
Alcon:
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Co-promotion or other agreements would require arms-length
negotiations and approval of the Committee; and
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Novartis could not fully rationalize sales forces or back
office functions.
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The Committee disagrees with Novartis’ assertion that a 12% premium
to the unaffected share price is "very much in line with what minority
shareholders in similar transactions have received.”
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A review of 247 squeeze-out transactions announced over the past
decade with a value greater than US$100 million showed that the
final premium paid for the minority shares over the share price
one week and one month prior to announcement were 27% and 30% on
average, respectively, with median values of 18% and 21%,
respectively.
-
Indeed, Novartis itself set a precedent in 2005 when they paid a
premium of approximately 25% to the unaffected price to
squeeze-out the minority shareholders of Eon Labs, which also
represented a premium of 9% to the price they paid for their
majority stake.
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In addition to undervaluing Alcon’s minority shares, the Committee
views the terms of the Novartis proposal as inferior to the terms
offered to Alcon’s current majority shareholder.
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Minority shareholders are to receive stock consideration, whereas
Nestlé is to receive cash.
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Stock consideration is offered at a fixed exchange ratio, which
creates uncertainty as to the value to be ultimately received by
the minority shareholders.
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In spite of the stock-based consideration, the Novartis merger
proposal is likely to be taxable for United States income tax
purposes.
Annex: Unaffected Share Price Analysis
Fundamental Drivers of Alcon’s Share Price Performance
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Evidence does not support the contention that a large speculative
premium was imbedded in Alcon stock prior to the announcement of the
Novartis proposal
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Alcon shares have steadily risen in 2009 in conjunction with strong
earnings announcements and several strategic transaction announcements
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Additionally, a high correlation between Alcon’s share price change
and changes in street earnings would imply that research analyst
earnings revisions (along with Alcon’s results) appear to have driven
the share price performance, in both directions, since early 2008
Refer to Chart 2 - Alcon Indexed Price, EPS and Volume Analysis
Alcon
share price and volume driven principally by strong earnings
announcements
About Alcon
Alcon, Inc. is the world’s leading eye care company, with sales of
approximately $6.3 billion in 2008. Alcon, which has been dedicated to
the ophthalmic industry for 65 years, researches, develops, manufactures
and markets pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment and devices, contacts
lens solutions and other vision care products that treat diseases,
disorders and other conditions of the eye. Alcon operates in 75
countries and sells products in 180 markets. For more information on
Alcon, Inc., visit the Company’s web site at www.alcon.com.
Caution Concerning Forward-Looking Statements. This press
release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any
forward-looking statements reflect the views of the Committee as of the
date of this press release with respect to future events and are based
on assumptions and subject to risks and uncertainties. Given these
uncertainties, you should not place undue reliance on these
forward-looking statements. There can be no guarantee that Novartis or
Alcon will achieve any particular future financial results or future
growth rates or that Novartis or Alcon will be able to realize any
potential synergies, strategic benefits or opportunities as a result of
the consummation of the Novartis purchase or the proposed merger.
Also,
there can be no guarantee that the Committee will obtain any particular
result.
Except to the extent required under the federal
securities laws and the rules and regulations promulgated by the
Securities and Exchange Commission, we undertake no obligation to
publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements,
whether to reflect new information or future events or circumstances or
otherwise.