Consumer sentiment declined significantly in June, as the Discover U.S.
Spending Monitor recorded its largest one-month drop ever, moving
downward 4.4 points from 89.5 to 85.1. The monitor, a daily poll of
8,200 consumers tracking economic confidence and spending intentions
throughout the month, showed significant numbers of Americans who
believe both the overall economy and their personal finances are
worsening.
The current index is the worst recorded since July 2009 and comes after
few months of little change in consumer confidence despite high gas
prices and other financial pressures. In June, however, more than 60
percent of U.S. adults rated the economy as poor, up nearly 4 percentage
points from the month before, and nearly 56 percent say the economy is
getting worse, a jump of nearly 5 percentage points from those who had
that view in May.
Furthermore, for the first time since July 2009, more than half of
respondents report that their personal finances are worsening. That
figure, at 51 percent, is up from 48 percent the previous month.
The drop in confidence comes even though the number of people concerned
they will spend more on household expenses in the following month
dropped 10 points from May to June. Just 43 percent now say they expect
higher household expenses, which includes groceries and gas.
"The recent dip in gas prices did not appear to have any impact on
consumers’ views toward their personal finances,” said Julie Loeger,
senior vice president of brand and product management for Discover. "In
the absence of good economic news, such as on the jobs front or with
housing prices, more Americans are growing pessimistic about their
long-term financial outlook and the outlook for America’s economy
generally.”
June’s Monitor Reflects Differing Attitudes Among Age Groups
The results of June’s Monitor reflect different attitudes about the
economy by different age groups, with older Americans reflecting a
decidedly negative view about the future. In June, nearly 59 percent of
Americans who are at least 65 years old said the economy is getting
worse, compared to just more than 47 percent of that group who felt that
way the month earlier.
In addition, more than 56 percent of this age group say that their
personal finances are worsening, up from just less than 52 percent the
month before.
Other differences in ages:
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58.1 percent of consumers ages 40 to 64 believe the economy is getting
worse, a figure that moved from 54.8 percent in May. In that age
bracket, 55 percent now feel their personal finances are worsening, up
from 52.5 percent in May.
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Younger Americans, ages 18 to 39, are more optimistic compared to
their elders about the economy, but their outlook is worsening. Of
that age group, nearly 53 percent believe the economy is worsening, an
increase of more than 4 percentage points from the month before. In
addition, nearly 47 percent of that group believes their personal
finances are deteriorating, an increase of nearly 3 points from the
month before.
More Spending on Household Improvements
Despite growing concern over the economy and their personal finances,
June’s Monitor showed more consumers are planning to spend on household
improvements. Just over 18.2 percent plan to spend more on improvements,
which is up 1 point from May, and is the highest figure for that
category since May 2008. Beyond spending on household improvements,
discretionary spending on dining, entertainment and vacations was flat
month-to-month.
At the same time, a slightly higher number of Americans are reporting
they expect a shortfall in income or increase in expenses this month.
Just over 42 percent of Americans are expecting that shortfall, compared
to 41 percent in May. This is the fourth straight month this number has
been above 40 percent. However, for the first time in four months, the
Monitor reported an increase in the number of consumers who expect to
have money left over after paying monthly bills. Forty-seven percent of
consumers plan to have money left over compared to 45.7 percent in May.
For more Discover U.S. Spending Monitor survey data, charts and
information, please visit www.discoverfinancial.com/surveys/spending.shtml.
About Discover U.S. Spending Monitor
The Discover® U.S. Spending MonitorSM is a monthly
index of consumer spending intentions and capacity that is based on
interviews with a random sample of 8,200 U.S. adults conducted at a rate
of 275 per night. In addition to spending, the survey asks consumers
their opinions on the U.S. economy and their personal finances. The
Monitor began in May 2007 with a base index of 100. Surveys are
conducted by Rasmussen Reports, an independent survey research firm (www.rasmussenreports.com).
About Discover
Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS) is a direct banking and payment
services company with one of the most recognized brands in U.S.
financial services. Since its inception in 1986, the company has become
one of the largest card issuers in the United States. The company
operates the Discover
card, America's cash rewards pioneer, and offers personal and
student loans, online savings accounts, certificates of deposit and
money market accounts through its Discover
Bank subsidiary. Its payment businesses consist of Discover Network,
with millions of merchant and cash access locations; PULSE, one of the
nation's leading ATM/debit networks; and Diners Club International, a
global payments network with acceptance in more than 185 countries and
territories. For more information, visit www.discoverfinancial.com.
