19.05.2022 15:00

Is Trending Stock The Mosaic Company (MOS) a Buy Now?

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Mosaic (MOS) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.Over the past month, shares of this fertilizer maker have returned -18.9%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -10.5% change. During this period, the Zacks Fertilizers industry, which Mosaic falls in, has lost 10.7%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.Earnings Estimate RevisionsRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.Mosaic is expected to post earnings of $3.95 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +237.6%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +10.6%.The consensus earnings estimate of $13.50 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +167.9%. This estimate has changed +10.1% over the last 30 days.For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $11.31 indicates a change of -16.2% from what Mosaic is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +131.4%.With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Mosaic.The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:12 Month EPSRevenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.In the case of Mosaic, the consensus sales estimate of $5.61 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +100.2%. The $21.41 billion and $19.12 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +73.2% and -10.7%, respectively.Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryMosaic reported revenues of $3.92 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +70.8%. EPS of $2.41 for the same period compares with $0.57 a year ago.Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.11 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -4.48%. The EPS surprise was -1.23%.Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed EPS estimates just once. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance.While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.Mosaic is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Mosaic. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 DaysJust released: Experts distill 7 elite stocks from the current list of 220 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buys. They deem these tickers "Most Likely for Early Price Pops."Since 1988, the full list has beaten the market more than 2X over with an average gain of +25.4% per year. So be sure to give these hand-picked 7 your immediate attention. See them now >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report The Mosaic Company (MOS): Free Stock Analysis Report To read this article on Zacks.com click here. Zacks Investment Research
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Nachrichten zu The Mosaic Co

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  • Alle
  • vom Unternehmen
  • Peer Group
  • ?

Um Ihnen die Übersicht über die große Anzahl an Nachrichten, die jeden Tag für ein Unternehmen erscheinen, etwas zu erleichtern, haben wir den Nachrichtenfeed in folgende Kategorien aufgeteilt:

Relevant: Nachrichten von ausgesuchten Quellen, die sich im Speziellen mit diesem Unternehmen befassen

Alle: Alle Nachrichten, die dieses Unternehmen betreffen. Z.B. auch Marktberichte die außerdem auch andere Unternehmen betreffen

vom Unternehmen: Nachrichten und Adhoc-Meldungen, die vom Unternehmen selbst veröffentlicht werden

Peer Group: Nachrichten von Unternehmen, die zur Peer Group gehören

Analysen zu The Mosaic Co

  • Alle
  • Buy
  • Hold
  • Sell
  • ?
11.08.2020The Mosaic HoldJoh. Berenberg, Gossler & Co. KG (Berenberg Bank)
05.05.2020The Mosaic buyUBS AG
17.03.2020The Mosaic NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
08.01.2020The Mosaic OutperformRBC Capital Markets
23.12.2019The Mosaic UnderweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
05.05.2020The Mosaic buyUBS AG
08.01.2020The Mosaic OutperformRBC Capital Markets
25.09.2019The Mosaic buyUBS AG
28.08.2019The Mosaic OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
27.08.2019The Mosaic buyUBS AG
11.08.2020The Mosaic HoldJoh. Berenberg, Gossler & Co. KG (Berenberg Bank)
17.03.2020The Mosaic NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
04.09.2018The Mosaic Equal WeightBarclays Capital
10.08.2018The Mosaic HoldStandpoint Research
22.11.2017The Mosaic Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
23.12.2019The Mosaic UnderweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
09.12.2016The Mosaic UnderperformCowen and Company, LLC
19.04.2016The Mosaic UnderweightBarclays Capital

Um die Übersicht zu verbessern, haben Sie die Möglichkeit, die Analysen für The Mosaic Co nach folgenden Kriterien zu filtern.

Alle: Alle Empfehlungen

Buy: Kaufempfehlungen wie z.B. "kaufen" oder "buy"

Hold: Halten-Empfehlungen wie z.B. "halten" oder "neutral"

Sell: Verkaufsempfehlungn wie z.B. "verkaufen" oder "reduce"
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