Meta Platforms (META) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

17.04.24 16:01 Uhr

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The market expects Meta Platforms (META) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2024. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on April 24, 2024, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.Zacks Consensus EstimateThis social media company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $4.31 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +63.3%.Revenues are expected to be $36.22 billion, up 26.4% from the year-ago quarter.Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.5% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Meta Platforms?For Meta Platforms, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +3.26%.On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2.So, this combination indicates that Meta Platforms will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate.Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Meta Platforms would post earnings of $4.83 per share when it actually produced earnings of $5.33, delivering a surprise of +10.35%.Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.Meta Platforms appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.Free Report – The Bitcoin Profit PhenomenonZacks Investment Research has released a Special Report to help you pursue massive profits from the world’s first and largest decentralized form of money.No guarantees for the future, but in the past three presidential election years, Bitcoin’s returns were as follows: 2012 +272.4%, 2016 +161.1%, and 2020 +302.8%.Zacks predicts another significant surge. Click below for Bitcoin: A Tumultuous Yet Resilient History.Download Now – Today It’s FREE >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Meta Platforms, Inc. (META): Free Stock Analysis ReportTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Meta Platforms (ex Facebook)

DatumRatingAnalyst
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) KaufenDZ BANK
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) OverweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) BuyUBS AG
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) OverweightBarclays Capital
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) BuyUBS AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) KaufenDZ BANK
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) OverweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) BuyUBS AG
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) OverweightBarclays Capital
25.04.2024Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) BuyUBS AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
02.02.2023Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) HaltenDZ BANK
27.10.2022Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
28.07.2022Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
21.07.2022Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
29.06.2022Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
DatumRatingAnalyst
12.05.2022Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) HoldHSBC
05.12.2019Facebook ReduceHSBC
31.01.2019Facebook SellPivotal Research Group
31.10.2018Facebook SellPivotal Research Group
12.10.2018Facebook SellPivotal Research Group

Um die Übersicht zu verbessern, haben Sie die Möglichkeit, die Analysen für Meta Platforms (ex Facebook) nach folgenden Kriterien zu filtern.

Alle: Alle Empfehlungen

Buy: Kaufempfehlungen wie z.B. "kaufen" oder "buy"
Hold: Halten-Empfehlungen wie z.B. "halten" oder "neutral"
Sell: Verkaufsempfehlungn wie z.B. "verkaufen" oder "reduce"