NICB Warns of Increased Cargo Theft in 2025

Cargo Theft Up 27% in 2024; Predicted to Rise Another 22% in 2025

OAK BROOK, Ill., June 25, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The confluence of tariffs, profitability to fund criminal enterprises, enhanced technology to defeat law enforcement, and geopolitical circumstances has led to an increased level of threat to the global supply chain, according to the National Insurance Crime Bureau (NICB), the nation's leading non-profit association dedicated to preventing insurance fraud and crime.

In the last 18 months, NICB has assisted in more than 240 cargo crime investigations, leading to more than 70 recoveries valued at nearly $40 million. Since 2022, the organization has opened an average of 150 commercial cargo crime cases per year. NICB agents play a crucial role in coordinating with local, state and federal law enforcement agencies, as well as NICB member insurance companies to aid in investigations of organized crime and other bad actors involved in cargo theft.

"Weaknesses in common-use business technologies like voice over internet protocol (VoIP) and GPS, coupled with business email compromises, identity theft, and synthetic identities enable sophisticated criminals to reroute high-value consumer goods such as electronics, medicine, and clothing from their intended destination to the black market," said NICB President and CEO David J. Glawe. "Bad actors leverage these vulnerabilities, along with economic uncertainty created by ongoing tariff negotiations, for their own profit."

For the first time, the value of stolen merchandise and estimated loss rose to more than $1 billion in 2023. Last year, cargo crimes increased to an all-time high, up 27% from 2023, according to CargoNet. Annual cargo theft losses are expected to rise another 22% from already historic levels by the end of 2025. The estimated average value of an individual theft is more than $202,000.

Criminals exploit cargo delivery through identity theft, fraudulent pickups, posing as fictitious carriers and cyber-enabled logistics manipulation.

"When manufacturers are forced to account for stolen merchandise, the costs are passed along to the consumer," Glawe continued. "An accurate picture of cargo crime is a challenge. We are calling on the transportation industry, insurance carriers and law enforcement to collaborate by sharing data around these crimes to help spot patterns that can help find criminals and deter this crime."

The only way to stop cargo theft is through deterrence. The NICB recommends the following precautions for any entity engaged in the supply chain:

Screen every employee. Conduct a background check on every employee including those with access to the shipping information.

Train employees on the signs of cargo theft. Provide security training for every employee and educate truck drivers in hijack awareness and prevention as well as how to respond and report theft.

Check transportation partners before hiring. They should share your security philosophy, such as conducting background checks and employee training. Use freight brokers and transporters who do not permit double brokering. Ensure that only you as the shipper can make re-routing decisions and not the broker, transporter dispatch etc. The change order can only originate from the owner of the cargo. Be cautious and scrutinize emails to ensure that they are legitimate and not altered. Scrutinize and ensure phone numbers used by individuals within the supply chain are valid and if determined to be Voice Over Internet Protocol, to take additional vetting procedures.

Implement in-transit security measures. Cargo theft can be pre-planned or opportunistic and include an inside informant who follows the goods and ultimately leads criminals to quickly dispose of the cargo. Thieves will often wait outside known shipping facilities waiting for drivers to stop. Best practice is to not stop within the first 200 miles, park in known secure locations and avoid "hot spots" --areas known for increased frequency of cargo crime.

Keep a vigilant eye. Trucks and cargo are most vulnerable when sitting idle. Include countersurveillance – observance and 360visibility to your property and surroundings--in the duties of your security guards.

Take advantage of technology. Utilize layers of security: ensure the perimeter, entrances, building doors, and windows are well lit. Install alarm surveillance systems, vehicle and cargo tracking, immobilizers, and advanced security seals.

Conduct audits. Regularly look for gaps in shipment protection and stay abreast of how technology enables theft throughout the supply chain.

NICB develops proprietary threat assessments based on its own data as well as data from law enforcement, industry intelligence, CargoNet, FBI and Overhaul.

If you suspect potential cargo theft, call local law enforcement, your insurance carrier and NICB's hotline at 1-800-TEL-NICB.

About the National Insurance Crime Bureau: Headquartered in Oak Brook, Ill., the National Insurance Crime Bureau (NICB) is the nation's leading not-for-profit organization exclusively dedicated to combatting and preventing insurance crime through Intelligence, Analytics, and Operations; Education and Crime Prevention; and Strategy, Policy, and Advocacy. NICB is supported by more than 1,200 property and casualty insurance companies and self-insured organizations. To learn more, visit NICB.org.

SOURCE National Insurance Crime Bureau (NICB)