Sea Limited vs. Take-Two Interactive: Which Gaming Stock has an Edge?

26.06.25 18:36 Uhr

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Sea Limited SE and Take-Two Interactive TTWO are well-known video game providers. While SE’s Garena Free Fire is hugely popular, TTWO rides on franchises including Grand Theft Auto (GTA) and Red Dead Redemption. Both stocks have been benefiting from rising consumer spending on mobile games, which, per SensorTower, reached approximately $6.85 billion in May, reflecting a 5.4% increase on a monthly basis.Per Statista, video game revenues are expected to see a CAGR of 7.01% between 2025 and 2030, hitting $733.22 billion, with mobile game revenues witnessing a CAGR of 5.4% to hit $163.98 billion by 2030. This offers major growth opportunities for both Sea Limited and Take-Two Interactive.So, SE or TTWO, which of these gaming stocks has the greater upside potential? Let’s find out.The Case for SE StockSea Limited is riding on strong Garena (Digital Entertainment) revenues, which increased 8.2% year over year to $495.6 million in the first quarter of 2025. Bookings soared 51.4% year over year to $775.4 million, driven by the success of SE’s flagship game, Free Fire. According to SensorTower, Garena Free Fire was the second most downloaded mobile game globally in May 2025, driven by the game's growing popularity in markets like India, Brazil and Indonesia.Garena’s collaboration with Naruto Shippuden contributed to increased user engagement. While quarterly active users increased 11.3% year over year to 661.8 million, quarterly paying users were 64.6 million, up 32.2% year over year. Paying user ratio was 9.8% compared with 8.2% for the first quarter of 2024. Expanding gaming portfolio benefits Garena. In April, Sea published Delta Force Mobile, a first-person tactical shooting game, across markets in Southeast Asia, MENA, and Latin America that attracted more than 10 million downloads. The launch of Free City is also noteworthy. The company remains on track to achieve double-digit growth for Garena’s user base and bookings in 2025.The Case for TTWO StockIn fourth-quarter fiscal 2025, Take-Two Interactive’s NBA 2K25 posted a near-record performance and exceeded the company’s forecast. To date, the title has sold nearly 10 million units, a 7% increase compared to NBA 2K24 during the same timeframe. The Grand Theft Auto series exceeded the company’s expectations, and at the end of the fiscal fourth quarter, GTA V had sold in more than 215 million units. Red Dead Redemption 2 also outperformed, with net bookings growing 23% year over year.However, Take-Two Interactive’s reliance on a few franchises is a headwind. The much-anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI, originally expected to drive fiscal 2026 performance, has been pushed to May 26, 2026, falling into fiscal 2027. This delay represents a critical blow to near-term revenue expectations and highlights the company's inability to maintain consistent release schedules. TTWO’s fiscal 2026 guidance of $5.9-$6 billion in net bookings represents a modest 5% growth.Take-Two Interactive’s decelerating growth trajectory, combined with increasing cost pressures, makes the stock risky for investors. The company’s guidance indicates that recurrent consumer spending will remain flat in fiscal 2026. Mobile revenues are expected to decline, along with Grand Theft Auto Online’s performance. Operating expenses have surged, with TTWO reporting a 3% year-over-year increase in fiscal 2026 expectations, primarily driven by higher marketing costs. TTWO’s development costs continue escalating, with capital expenditures of approximately $140 million planned for fiscal 2026.Price Performance and Valuation of SE and TTWOIn the year-to-date period, Sea Limited shares have surged 46.8%, outperforming Take-Two Interactive, which has appreciated 31.2%.Stock Performance: SE vs. TTWO Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Valuation-wise, both SE and TTWO shares are currently overvalued, as suggested by a Value Score of D and F, respectively.Valuation: SE vs. TTWO Image Source: Zacks Investment Research In terms of forward 12-month Price/Sales, Sea Limited shares are trading at 3.78X, lower than Take-Two Interactive’s 6.22X.How Do Earnings Estimates Compare for SE and TTWO?The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sea Limited’s 2025 earnings is pegged at $2.68 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days. This indicates a 41.8% increase year over year. Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Price and Consensus Sea Limited Sponsored ADR price-consensus-chart | Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Quote The consensus mark for Take-Two Interactive’s fiscal 2026 earnings is pegged at $2.93 per share, which has declined 10.4% over the past 30 days. The figure indicates a whopping 42.93% jump year over year. Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Price and Consensus Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Quote SE Edges Past TTWO on Diversified Business ModelAlthough Take-Two Interactive boasts of a greater number of well-known gaming franchises, Sea Limited rides on Free Fire’s popularity, as well as growing Shopee (e-commerce) and Monee (fintech) businesses. Shopee’s growing footprint in Asia and Brazil, as well as Monee’s expansion into Brazil, one of South America’s most underserved credit markets, signals a strategic pivot toward sustainable growth.Sea Limited currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which makes it a stronger pick compared with Take-Two Interactive, which has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.Research Chief Names "Single Best Pick to Double"From thousands of stocks, 5 Zacks experts each have chosen their favorite to skyrocket +100% or more in months to come. From those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian hand-picks one to have the most explosive upside of all.This company targets millennial and Gen Z audiences, generating nearly $1 billion in revenue last quarter alone. A recent pullback makes now an ideal time to jump aboard. Of course, all our elite picks aren’t winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks’ Stocks Set to Double like Nano-X Imaging which shot up +129.6% in little more than 9 months.Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners UpWant the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO): Free Stock Analysis Report Sea Limited Sponsored ADR (SE): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Take Two

DatumRatingAnalyst
17.06.2019Take Two BuyThe Benchmark Company
04.06.2019Take Two Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
01.05.2019Take Two OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
15.02.2019Take Two UnderperformBMO Capital Markets
22.01.2019Take Two BuyDeutsche Bank AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
17.06.2019Take Two BuyThe Benchmark Company
04.06.2019Take Two Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
01.05.2019Take Two OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
22.01.2019Take Two BuyDeutsche Bank AG
16.01.2019Take Two BuyGabelli & Co
DatumRatingAnalyst
02.08.2012Take-Two Interactive Software neutralPiper Jaffray & Co.
06.02.2012Take-Two Interactive Software neutralUBS AG
07.10.2011Take-Two Interactive Software neutralRobert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated
10.02.2011Take-Two Interactive Software neutralPiper Jaffray & Co.
09.02.2011Take-Two Interactive Software neutralUBS AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
15.02.2019Take Two UnderperformBMO Capital Markets
08.12.2009Take-Two Interactive Software DowngradeKaufman Bros., LP
18.12.2008Take-Two Interactive Software sellKaufman Bros., LP
11.11.2008Take-Two Interactive Software DowngradeStandard & Poor
22.11.2007Take-Two Interactive Software underweightLehman Brothers Inc.

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