DoubleLine Briefing: Rethinking Economic Signals Beyond the BLS Business
TAMPA, Fla., Sept. 25, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- A research briefing by DoubleLine Fixed Income Allocation Strategist Ryan Kimmel explores the growing challenges faced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in producing accurate monthly employment figures amid a decline in survey participation by U.S. businesses.
The briefing, titled "Rethinking Economic Signals Beyond the BLS Business," can be downloaded from the following link: https://doubleline.com/markets-insights/rethinking-economic-signals-beyond-the-bls/
An extended drop-off in recent years in survey response rates and a resultant increased reliance on statistical imputation to fill gaps in hard data have led to unprecedented revisions in jobs data, Mr. Kimmel writes. This briefing discusses the risks of deteriorating macroeconomic survey quality to investment decision-making and calls for a holistic approach to economic analysis, blending official statistics with private data and idiosyncratic indicators. A multifaceted information-gathering strategy, Mr. Kimmel writes, is essential to navigating today's uncertain economic landscape and making informed decisions.
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