Alaska Air Group (ALK) Reports Q1 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates

Alaska Air Group (ALK) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.77 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.72. This compares to loss of $0.92 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -6.94%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this airline would post earnings of $0.47 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.97, delivering a surprise of 106.38%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.Alaska Air, which belongs to the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry, posted revenues of $3.14 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.80%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $2.23 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters.The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.Alaska Air shares have lost about 30.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's decline of -10.1%.What's Next for Alaska Air?While Alaska Air has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Alaska Air: mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.52 on $3.77 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $5.19 on $14.51 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Transportation - Airline is currently in the bottom 38% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.One other stock from the same industry, American Airlines (AAL), is yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2025. The results are expected to be released on April 24.This world's largest airline is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.69 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -102.9%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 27% lower over the last 30 days to the current level.American Airlines' revenues are expected to be $12.52 billion, down 0.4% from the year-ago quarter.Should You Invest in Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)?Before you invest in Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK), want to know the best stocks to buy for the next 30 days? Check out Zacks Investment Research for our free report on the 7 best stocks to buy.Zacks Investment Research has been committed to providing investors with tools and independent research since 1978. For more than a quarter century, the Zacks Rank stock-rating system has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +24.08% per year. (These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through May 6, 2024.)Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK): Free Stock Analysis Report American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks