Here's Why Investors Should Give CSX Stock a Miss for Now

11.07.25 15:07 Uhr

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CSX Corporation CSX is currently mired in multiple headwinds that are significantly impacting its prospects. Surging expenses, weak liquidity and downturn in demand are all major challenges, which, we believe, have made CSX an unimpressive investment option.Let’s delve deeper.CSX: Headwinds to WatchSouthward Earnings Estimate Revision: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-quarter earnings has moved 16.3% south in the past 90 days. For the current year, the consensus mark for earnings has been revised 9.8% downward in the same time frame. The unfavorable estimate revisions indicate brokers’ lack of confidence in the stock.Dim Price Performance:  The company’s price trend reveals that its shares have risen only 18.6% over the past 90 days compared with the transportation-rail industry’s 28.8% growth.Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchWeak Zacks Rank: CSX currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).Negative Earnings Surprise History:CSX has a disappointing earnings surprise history. The company’s earnings lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters (outpaced the mark in the remaining quarter), delivering an average miss of 3.13%.Key Risks: CSX has been contending with persistently high operating expenses, which have increased steadily over recent years. In 2022, the company's operating expenses totaled $8.8 billion. This figure rose 3% in 2023, reaching $9.1 billion. The upward trend continued in 2024, with a more modest increase of 1.5%, bringing total expenses to $9.3 billion. Most recently, in the first quarter of 2025, operating expenses grew by 1.6% year over year, signaling continued cost pressures in the current fiscal year.CSX has consistently seen its liquidity decline, as reflected in a steady drop in its current ratio (a measure of liquidity) over the past several years. The company reported a strong current ratio of 1.73 in 2021, but this fell to 1.56 in 2022, dropped sharply to 1.04 in 2023 and further declined to 0.86 in 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, the ratio edged up slightly to 0.88, but it still remains below the preferred threshold of 1.0. A current ratio above 1 indicates that a company holds sufficient short-term assets to cover its liabilities. CSX’s ongoing decline in this key metric signals mounting liquidity pressures that could limit its financial flexibility.Moreover, weak demand in the coal market is hurting CSX’s performance, with coal revenues dropping 27% and volumes falling 9% year over year in the first quarter of 2025. Ongoing rail network challenges, such as crew shortages and service disruptions, are reducing operating efficiency and limiting shipment volumes. CSX is also facing pressure from elevated capital expenditures, with management projecting $2.5 billion in spending for 2025. Combined with the stock’s higher-than-average volatility, these issues are weighing heavily on CSX’s investment prospects.Stocks to ConsiderInvestors interested in the Transportation sector may consider Wabtec WAB and Kirby KEX.WAB currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.WAB has an expected earnings growth rate of 15.7% for the current year. The company has an impressive earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed once, delivering an average beat of 5.9%. Shares of WAB have risen 12.7% year to date.KEX currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2.KEX has an expected earnings growth rate of 18.7% for the current year. The company has an encouraging earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average beat of 5%. Shares of KEX have rallied 10.6% year to date.#1 Semiconductor Stock to Buy (Not NVDA)The incredible demand for data is fueling the market's next digital gold rush. As data centers continue to be built and constantly upgraded, the companies that provide the hardware for these behemoths will become the NVIDIAs of tomorrow.One under-the-radar chipmaker is uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. It specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be.See This Stock Now for Free >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report CSX Corporation (CSX): Free Stock Analysis Report Kirby Corporation (KEX): Free Stock Analysis Report Wabtec (WAB): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu CSX Corp.

DatumRatingAnalyst
17.07.2019CSX HoldCascend Securities
17.07.2019CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
17.01.2019CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
17.10.2018CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
07.09.2018CSX Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
DatumRatingAnalyst
07.09.2018CSX Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
18.07.2018CSX BuyStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
24.05.2018CSX BuyStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
18.04.2018CSX OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
02.03.2018CSX OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
17.07.2019CSX HoldCascend Securities
17.07.2019CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
17.01.2019CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
17.10.2018CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
17.01.2018CSX Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
05.04.2007CSX reduceCalyon Securities

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