MSCI Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y, Shares Up

28.10.25 18:47 Uhr

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MSCI’s MSCI third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $4.47 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.29% and increased 15.8% year over year.MSCI's revenues rose 9.5% year over year to $793.4 million, missing the consensus estimate by 0.72%. The year-over-year improvement was driven by strong growth in recurring subscription revenues and asset-based fees. Organic operating revenues grew 9% year over year.Recurring subscriptions of $579.1 million increased 7.9% year over year and contributed 73% to revenues. Asset-based fees of $197.5 million jumped 17.1% year over year and contributed 24.9% to revenues. Non-recurring revenues of $16.9 million decreased 13.4% year over year and contributed 2.1% to revenues.At the end of the reported quarter, average assets under management were $2.211 trillion in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes. The total retention rate was 94.7% in the reported quarter.MSCI Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise MSCI Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | MSCI Inc QuoteMSCI reported solid growth in the third quarter of 2025, with notable increases in revenues and earnings. MSCI shares jumped more than 4.19% at the time of writing this article.MSCI’s Top-Line DetailsIn third-quarter 2025, Index revenues of $451.2 million increased 11.4% year over year. Recurring subscriptions and asset-based fees rose 8.3% and 17.1% on a year-over-year basis, respectively. Non-recurring revenues declined 10.1% year over year. Organically, Index operating revenue growth was 11.4%.The uptick in recurring subscription revenues was driven by strong growth from market-cap-weighted Index products and ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes.Analytics’ operating revenues of $182.2 million increased 5.7% year over year. Recurring subscription revenues jumped 6% and non-recurring revenues decreased 8.2% on a year-over-year basis. Organically, Analytics’ operating revenue growth was 5.6%.The Sustainability and Climate segment’s (previously titled "ESG and Climate") operating revenues were $90.1 million, rising 7.7% year over year. While recurring subscriptions increased 8.8% year over year, non-recurring revenues declined 31.2% on a year-over-year basis. Organically, Sustainability and Climate operating revenue growth was 5.1%. All Other – Private Assets operating revenues, which primarily comprise the Real Assets operating segment and the Private Capital Solutions (formerly known as Burgiss), were $70 million, up 9.7% year over year. Organic operating revenue growth for All Other – Private Assets was 8.3%.MSCI’s Q3 Operating DetailsAdjusted EBITDA increased 9.7% year over year to $494.4 million in the reported quarter. The adjusted EBITDA margin in the third quarter of 2025 was 62.3% compared with 62.2% in the third quarter of 2024.Adjusted EBITDA expenses were $298.9 million, up 9.1% year over year, reflecting higher compensation and benefits costs due to higher headcount, as well as elevated severance costs.Total operating expenses increased 6.9% on a year-over-year basis to $345.7 million due to higher compensation costs from a 2.2% increase in headcount.Operating income improved 11.6% year over year to $447.7 million. The operating margin expanded 100 bps on a year-over-year basis to 56.4%.MSCI’s Balance Sheet & Cash FlowTotal cash and cash equivalents, as of Sept. 30, 2025, were $400.1 million compared with $347.3 million as of June 30, 2025.Total debt was $5.6 billion as of Sept. 30, 2025, compared with $4.5 billion as of June 30, 2025. The total debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio (based on trailing 12-month-adjusted EBITDA) was 3 times. Management targets total debt to adjusted EBITDA of 3-3.5 times.As of Sept. 30, 2025, the free cash flow was $423.3 million, up 7.4% year over year from $301.6 million as of June 30, 2025.As of Oct. 25, 2025, the MSCI board of directors authorized a new $3.0 billion share repurchase program.The company paid out dividends worth $137.4 million in the third quarter of 2025.MSCI Maintains 2025 GuidanceFor 2025, MSCI expects total operating expenses of $1.415-$1.445 billion. Adjusted EBITDA expenses are anticipated to be between $1.230 billion and $1.250 billion.Interest expenses are expected to be between $205 million and $209 million.Net cash provided by operating activities and the free cash flow are expected to be $1.54-$1.59 billion and $1.41-$1.47 billion, respectively.Zacks Rank & Stocks to ConsiderMSCI currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).Some better-ranked stocks in the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector are Alkami Technology ALKT, AMETEK AME, and Advanced Energy AEIS. While Alkami Technology sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), AMETEK and Advanced Energy carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) each at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.Alkami Technology is set to report third-quarter 2025 results on Oct. 30. Alkami Technology shares have lost 35.2% year to date.AMETEK is slated to report third-quarter 2025 results on Oct. 30. AMETEK shares have gained 2.5% year to date.Advanced Energy is set to report third-quarter 2025 results on Nov. 4. Advanced Energy shares have surged 75.2% year to date.Quantum Computing Stocks Set To SoarArtificial intelligence has already reshaped the investment landscape, and its convergence with quantum computing could lead to the most significant wealth-building opportunities of our time.Today, you have a chance to position your portfolio at the forefront of this technological revolution. In our urgent special report, Beyond AI: The Quantum Leap in Computing Power, you'll discover the little-known stocks we believe will win the quantum computing race and deliver massive gains to early investors.Access the Report Free Now >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report AMETEK, Inc. (AME): Free Stock Analysis Report MSCI Inc (MSCI): Free Stock Analysis Report Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS): Free Stock Analysis Report Alkami Technology, Inc. (ALKT): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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DatumRatingAnalyst
07.12.2018MSCI OverweightBarclays Capital
27.07.2018MSCI OutperformBMO Capital Markets
04.08.2017MSCI BuyUBS AG
18.07.2017MSCI Equal WeightBarclays Capital
06.02.2015MSCI NeutralUBS AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
07.12.2018MSCI OverweightBarclays Capital
27.07.2018MSCI OutperformBMO Capital Markets
04.08.2017MSCI BuyUBS AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
18.07.2017MSCI Equal WeightBarclays Capital
06.02.2015MSCI NeutralUBS AG
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