Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates

04.11.25 13:40 Uhr

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) came out with quarterly earnings of $3.01 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.11 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.87 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -3.22%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this refiner would post earnings of $3.22 per share when it actually produced earnings of $3.96, delivering a surprise of +22.98%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.Marathon Petroleum, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, posted revenues of $35.85 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 16.33%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $35.37 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.Marathon Petroleum shares have added about 40.4% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 16.5%.What's Next for Marathon Petroleum?While Marathon Petroleum has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Marathon Petroleum was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.95 on $30.55 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $10.01 on $123.01 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing is currently in the top 18% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.Another stock from the same industry, RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO), has yet to report results for the quarter ended September 2025.This company is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.05 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -600%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.RGC Resources Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $14 million, up 6.9% from the year-ago quarter.Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC): Free Stock Analysis Report RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Marathon Petroleum Corporation

DatumRatingAnalyst
10.05.2019Marathon Petroleum Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
06.05.2019Marathon Petroleum OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
26.12.2018Marathon Petroleum AccumulateStandpoint Research
06.12.2018Marathon Petroleum OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
28.11.2018Marathon Petroleum OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
06.05.2019Marathon Petroleum OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
06.12.2018Marathon Petroleum OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
28.11.2018Marathon Petroleum OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
03.10.2018Marathon Petroleum OverweightBarclays Capital
02.08.2018Marathon Petroleum BuyMizuho
DatumRatingAnalyst
10.05.2019Marathon Petroleum Market PerformCowen and Company, LLC
26.12.2018Marathon Petroleum AccumulateStandpoint Research
15.11.2017Marathon Petroleum NeutralUBS AG
01.11.2016Marathon Petroleum NeutralUBS AG
28.10.2016Marathon Petroleum Sector PerformScotia Howard Weil
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