Consumer Beauty Sales Down 8%: Can Coty Revive Color Cosmetics?

14.10.25 16:57 Uhr

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Coty Inc.’s (COTY) Consumer Beauty segment ended fiscal 2025 on a downbeat note, with sales falling 8% year over year and operating profits slipping sharply as it contended with continued weakness in mass color cosmetics. The division posted a $127 million operating loss in fiscal 2025, reversing a profit of the year earlier. The adjusted EBITDA margin narrowed 160 basis points to 9.5%, reflecting lower sell-through and heightened promotional activity.In the fiscal fourth quarter, Consumer Beauty revenues decreased 12%, reflecting a high-single-digit decline in sell-out even as the overall market showed only slight growth. The softness was concentrated in color cosmetics and body care, partially offset by resilience in mass fragrances and skincare. Management attributed the pressure to rapid channel shifts, intense competitive activity and the reallocation of media investments away from lower-return areas.Coty is now refocusing the segment’s strategy on profitability rather than scale. Leadership plans to “step-change” the economics of its mass cosmetics platform by tightening spending and prioritizing innovation in higher-margin subcategories. Recent launches such as CoverGirl Yummy Blur lipstick and Rimmel TruBlend Skin Enhancer Balms, both earning strong consumer ratings, are designed to capture momentum in lip and multi-tasking beauty formats.Still, with more consumers shifting their focus toward fragrances and simpler beauty routines, Coty may find it challenging to boost interest in makeup. The company’s next phase will depend on whether focused innovation and careful execution can make color cosmetics a stronger and more profitable part of its Consumer Beauty business.Coty’s Zacks Rank & Share Price PerformanceShares of this Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) company have gained 4.1% in the past month against the broader Consumer Staples sector’s 2.6% decline. COTY has also outperformed the industry and the S&P 500 index’s growth of 3.6% and 0.4%, respectively, during the same period.COTY Stock's Past Month PerformanceImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchIs COTY a Value Play Stock?Coty currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 9.74, which is down from the industry average of 28.67 and below the sector average of 16.33. This valuation positions the stock at a modest discount relative to both its direct peers and the broader consumer staples sector.COTY P/E Ratio (Forward 12 Months)Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchCOTY’s Consensus Estimates Showing DowntrendThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share has seen downward revisions. Over the past 30 days, the consensus estimate has decreased a cent each to 43 cents for the current fiscal year and 47 cents for the next fiscal year.Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchStocks to ConsiderSally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) operates as a specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies. It delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 8.3%. Sally Beauty currently sports a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sally Beauty’s current fiscal-year earnings indicates growth of 8.9%, from the year-ago actuals.Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States. It currently holds a Zacks Rank #2. ULTA delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 16.3%, on average.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Ulta Beauty’s current fiscal-year sales indicates growth of 6.8% from the year-ago reported number. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI), a leading off-price retailer of brand-name household products, currently carries a Zacks Rank #2. OLLI has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 4.2%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Ollie's Bargain's current fiscal-year sales and earnings calls for growth of 16.4% and 16.5%, respectively, from the year-ago reported numbers.Zacks Names #1 Semiconductor StockThis under-the-radar company specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. And it's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be.With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $971 billion by 2028.See This Stock Now for Free >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA): Free Stock Analysis Report Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH): Free Stock Analysis Report Coty (COTY): Free Stock Analysis Report Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Coty Inc (A)

DatumRatingAnalyst
16.11.2018Coty A OutperformBMO Capital Markets
24.08.2018Coty A Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
16.12.2016Coty A OutperformBMO Capital Markets
24.10.2016Coty A BuyStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
29.09.2016Coty A NeutralB. Riley & Co., LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
16.11.2018Coty A OutperformBMO Capital Markets
24.08.2018Coty A Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
16.12.2016Coty A OutperformBMO Capital Markets
24.10.2016Coty A BuyStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
04.05.2016Coty A BuyStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
DatumRatingAnalyst
29.09.2016Coty A NeutralB. Riley & Co., LLC
05.05.2016Coty A Equal WeightBarclays Capital
21.07.2015Cot a Sector PerformRBC Capital Markets
10.11.2014Cot a NeutralB. Riley & Co., LLC
08.10.2014Cot a NeutralB. Riley & Co., LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
14.08.2015Cot a SellB. Riley & Co., LLC
26.03.2015Cot a SellB. Riley & Co., LLC
19.09.2014Cot a SellB. Riley & Co., LLC

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