Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Alcoa (AA) Q4 Earnings

For the quarter ended December 2025, Alcoa (AA) reported revenue of $3.45 billion, down 1.1% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $1.26, compared to $1.04 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +6.34% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.24 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.95, the EPS surprise was +32.63%.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.Here is how Alcoa performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:Average realized third-party price per metric ton of alumina: $341.00 versus the two-analyst average estimate of $334.30.Average realized third-party price per metric ton of aluminum: $3,749.00 versus the two-analyst average estimate of $3,724.71.Average cost per metric ton of aluminum shipped: $2,478.00 versus $2,679.38 estimated by two analysts on average.Third-party alumina shipments in Tons: 2,324.00 Kmt versus the two-analyst average estimate of 2,239.42 Kmt.Total sales- Alumina: $1.44 billion versus $1.32 billion estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -41.2% change.Total sales- Aluminum: $2.37 billion versus the two-analyst average estimate of $2.45 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +24.7%.Third-party sales- Bauxite: $173 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $160.89 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +35.2%.Third-party sales- Aluminum: $2.46 billion versus the two-analyst average estimate of $2.44 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +29.9%.Third-party sales- Alumina: $806 million compared to the $736.13 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of -45.1% year over year.Total Third-party sales: $3.45 billion compared to the $3.34 billion average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of -1.1% year over year.Total Third-party sales- Alumina (including Bauxite): $979 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $897.01 million.Intersegment sales- Alumina: $457 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $420.61 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -46%.View all Key Company Metrics for Alcoa here>>>Shares of Alcoa have returned +19.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), indicating that it could outperform the broader market in the near term.Zacks' Research Chief Names "Stock Most Likely to Double"Our team of experts has just released the 5 stocks with the greatest probability of gaining +100% or more in the coming months. Of those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights the one stock set to climb highest.This top pick is a little-known satellite-based communications firm. Space is projected to become a trillion dollar industry, and this company's customer base is growing fast. Analysts have forecasted a major revenue breakout in 2025. Of course, all our elite picks aren't winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks' Stocks Set to Double like Hims & Hers Health, which shot up +209%.Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners UpWant the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Alcoa (AA): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks