ConocoPhillips Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?

ConocoPhillips COP set to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 5, before the opening bell.In the last reported quarter, the large-cap upstream company’s adjusted earnings of $1.61 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.40 due to increased oil-equivalent production volumes.The upstream player beat earnings estimates in the trailing four quarters, with an average surprise of 6.27%. This is depicted in the graph below.ConocoPhillips Price and EPS Surprise  ConocoPhillips price-eps-surprise | ConocoPhillips QuoteCOP’s Estimate TrendThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.08 has witnessed no revision in the past seven days. The consensus estimate implies a decline of 45.5% from the year-ago reported number.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues of $14.05 billion indicates an 4.7% decrease from the year-ago reported figure.Factors to Consider for COPAccording to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the West Texas Intermediate spot price (in dollars per barrel) for October, November and December of 2025 was $60.89, $60.06 and $57.97, respectively, marking significant declines from the $71.99, $69.95 and $70.12 reported in the same period in 2024. The significant year-over-year drop in crude prices in the December-end quarter of 2025 is likely to have hurt COP’s revenues.Earnings WhispersOur proven model does not predict an earnings beat for COP this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of an earnings beat. That is not the case here, as you will see below.Earnings ESP: COP has an Earnings ESP of -2.54%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.Zacks Rank: The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).Stocks to ConsiderHere are some stocks that you may want to consider, as these have the right combination of elements to post earnings beat this reporting cycle.Antero Resources AR currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.05% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.AR is scheduled to release fourth-quarter earnings on Feb. 11. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 52 cents per share, suggesting a 10.3% decrease from the prior-year reported figure.Antero Midstream Corporation AM presently has an Earnings ESP of +0.84% and a Zacks Rank #3.Antero Midstream is scheduled to release fourth-quarter earnings on Feb. 11. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 24 cents per share, suggesting a 4.4% increase from the prior-year reported figure.BP plc BP currently has an Earnings ESP of +2.47% and a Zacks Rank #3.BP is scheduled to release fourth-quarter earnings on Feb. 10. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BP’s earnings is pegged at 57 cents per share, suggesting a 30% improvement from the prior-year reported figure.#1 Semiconductor Stock to Buy (Not NVDA)The incredible demand for data is fueling the market's next digital gold rush. As data centers continue to be built and constantly upgraded, the companies that provide the hardware for these behemoths will become the NVIDIAs of tomorrow.One under-the-radar chipmaker is uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. It specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be.See This Stock Now for Free >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report BP p.l.c. (BP): Free Stock Analysis Report ConocoPhillips (COP): Free Stock Analysis Report Antero Midstream Corporation (AM): Free Stock Analysis Report Antero Resources Corporation (AR): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks