ASML Stock Trades at a Discount: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold?

18.08.25 15:43 Uhr

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ASML Holding N.V. ASML is currently trading at a discounted valuation, making it an intriguing stock for investors to consider when deciding whether to buy, hold or sell. With a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.14, ASML is trading at a lower multiple than the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s average of 28.19.Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchIt also trades at a lower valuation compared to major semiconductor companies, such as Broadcom AVGO, NVIDIA NVDA and Advanced Micro Devices AMD. Currently, Broadcom, NVIDIA and Advanced Micro Devices have P/E multiples of 38.58, 36 and 24.47, respectively.With ASML’s discounted valuation, investors might be thinking of buying the stock. However, considering the uncertainty about the 2026 growth outlook, the lucrative valuations could be a value trap for investors.ASML Stock Plunges Despite Strong Q2 ResultsASML Holding shares have dropped 9.6% since the company reported its second-quarter 2025 results on July 16. ASML net sales grew 23.2% year over year to €7.69 billion, while EPS surged 47.1% to €5.90.Converted to the U.S. dollar, ASML Holding’s second-quarter revenues and EPS were $8.7 billion and $6.70, respectively, both surpassing analysts’ expectations. The top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.8%, and the bottom line surpassed it by 12.8%.Despite strong quarterly results, the market reaction was negative, largely because of weaker-than-expected third-quarter guidance and management’s commentary about the uncertain growth outlook for 2026.Shares of ASML Holding have underperformed the broader tech sector this year so far. Year to date, the stock has gained 7.1%, significantly lower than the sector’s growth of 13.7%. It has also underperformed major semiconductor players, including Broadcom, NVIDIA and Advanced Micro Devices, which have risen 32.1%, 34.4% and 47%, respectively.YTD Price Return PerformanceImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchASML Turns Cautious About 2026 OutlookDuring the second-quarter earnings call, management backed away from earlier confidence about growth in 2026. Previously, ASML Holding had expected demand to keep rising, especially with AI fueling more chip production. However, during the latest earnings call, the company said that it “cannot confirm growth in 2026,” pointing to customer hesitation and ongoing market uncertainty.During the call, ASML Holding acknowledged that ongoing U.S.-China tariff discussions, including the Section 232 tariff review, are negatively impacting customer capital spending timelines. This hesitation may delay orders and revenue recognition in late 2025 and into 2026, casting doubt on near-term growth continuity.Additionally, ASML Holding issued disappointing guidance for the third quarter. The company expects third-quarter revenues between €7.4 billion and €7.9 billion. As per the Euro/USD currency exchange rate as of July 16, the top-line guidance ranges from $8.6 billion to $9.2 billion, significantly lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.81 billion.ASML expects the third-quarter gross margin in the 50-52% range, depicting a significant decline from 53.7% in the second quarter. This sequential decrease is expected mainly due to margin-dilutive High NA system revenues and fewer upgrade orders.All these factors have caused near-term uncertainty about ASML Holding’s prospects. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings has been revised downward by 4.1% over the past 30 days.Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchConclusion: Sell ASML Stock for NowWhile ASML Holding remains a critical player in semiconductor manufacturing, the near-term setup is unfavorable. The stock’s valuation discount looks less like a buying opportunity and more like a reflection of real risks ahead. With growth momentum slowing, trade headwinds lingering, and management itself raising concerns about growth, investors should avoid investing in ASML stock at current levels.Additionally, ASML carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), suggesting investors stay away from the stock for now.You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.Free Report: Profiting from the 2nd Wave of AI ExplosionThe next phase of the AI explosion is poised to create significant wealth for investors, especially those who get in early. It will add literally trillion of dollars to the economy and revolutionize nearly every part of our lives.Investors who bought shares like Nvidia at the right time have had a shot at huge gains.But the rocket ride in the "first wave" of AI stocks may soon come to an end. The sharp upward trajectory of these stocks will begin to level off, leaving exponential growth to a new wave of cutting-edge companies.Zacks' AI Boom 2.0: The Second Wave report reveals 4 under-the-radar companies that may soon be shining stars of AI’s next leap forward.Access AI Boom 2.0 now, absolutely free >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): Free Stock Analysis Report NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): Free Stock Analysis Report ASML Holding N.V. (ASML): Free Stock Analysis Report Broadcom Inc. (AVGO): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu ASML NV

DatumRatingAnalyst
06.10.2025ASML NV OverweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
03.10.2025ASML NV BuyUBS AG
01.10.2025ASML NV BuyUBS AG
30.09.2025ASML NV BuyDeutsche Bank AG
30.09.2025ASML NV Market-PerformBernstein Research
DatumRatingAnalyst
06.10.2025ASML NV OverweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
03.10.2025ASML NV BuyUBS AG
01.10.2025ASML NV BuyUBS AG
30.09.2025ASML NV BuyDeutsche Bank AG
16.09.2025ASML NV OverweightJP Morgan Chase & Co.
DatumRatingAnalyst
30.09.2025ASML NV Market-PerformBernstein Research
25.09.2025ASML NV HaltenDZ BANK
16.09.2025ASML NV Equal WeightBarclays Capital
04.09.2025ASML NV Equal WeightBarclays Capital
26.08.2025ASML NV Market-PerformBernstein Research
DatumRatingAnalyst
16.07.2020ASML NV VerkaufenDZ BANK
22.06.2018ASML NV VerkaufenDZ BANK
22.07.2016ASML VerkaufenIndependent Research GmbH
01.04.2016ASML UnderperformBNP PARIBAS
21.01.2016ASML SellS&P Capital IQ

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Buy: Kaufempfehlungen wie z.B. "kaufen" oder "buy"
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Sell: Verkaufsempfehlungn wie z.B. "verkaufen" oder "reduce"
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