Netflix Membership Momentum Builds: Is Growth Reaccelerating?

22.01.26 17:44 Uhr

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Netflix's NFLX global streaming platform spans across 190+ countries, with its membership model anchoring the business. Flexible subscription tiers, ranging from ad-supported plans to premium offerings, allow the company to address varied consumer budgets while sustaining recurring revenue. Netflix surpassed the 325 million paid memberships milestone during the fourth quarter of 2025. With penetration below 10% of total television viewing time across major markets, substantial room for membership expansion.Membership dynamics show signs of reacceleration as engagement strengthens. Branded original content viewership increased 9% in the second half of 2025, while total viewing hours increased 2% annually. The ad-supported membership tier is driving incremental growth by providing an affordable entry point for price-sensitive consumers, expanding Netflix's addressable market beyond premium subscribers. This lower-priced option attracts members who might otherwise not subscribe at higher price points.Netflix's 2026 content strategy targets sustained membership growth through returning franchises like Bridgerton Season 4, One Piece Season 2 and The Night Agent Season 3, alongside new productions, including Pride & Prejudice and Greta Gerwig's Narnia. The platform is diversifying beyond core entertainment into video podcasts through partnerships with Spotify/The Ringer and iHeartMedia, while expanding live programming with events like the World Baseball Classic in Japan. Enhanced licensing partnerships with Sony, Universal and Paramount broaden content variety across genres, driving engagement.However, sustaining membership reacceleration faces headwinds from intensifying streaming competition, consumer spending pressures and content cost inflation. Netflix projects 2026 revenue of $50.7 billion to $51.7 billion, indicating 12-14% year-over-year growth driven by membership additions. Whether membership momentum continues building and growth truly accelerates will depend on ad-supported tier adoption rates, content slate performance and pricing strategy execution throughout the year ahead.Netflix’s Competitive LandscapeNetflix faces competition in acquiring members from Disney DIS and Amazon AMZN as streaming platforms pursue different membership growth strategies. Disney uses Disney+ to capture family-oriented subscribers through franchise content from Marvel, Pixar and Star Wars, while Disney offers bundle discounts with Hulu and ESPN+ to reduce churn. Netflix targets a broader demographic through global content diversification and flexible ad-supported pricing, aiming to attract price-sensitive consumers.Amazon leverages Prime Video as part of the Prime ecosystem, bundling streaming access with e-commerce benefits to drive overall Prime membership. Amazon integrates video within its retail platform rather than pursuing standalone streaming subscriptions like Netflix.NFLX’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Netflix have declined 28.3% in the past six months compared with the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry’s decline of 12.9%.NFLX’s Past Six-Month Price PerformanceImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchNetflix appears overvalued, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales of 7.05X compared to the broader Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry's forward sales multiple of 4.3X. NFLX carries a Value Score of D.NFLX’s ValuationImage Source: Zacks Investment ResearchThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for NFLX’s 2026 EPS is pegged at $3.20, unchanged over the past 30 days. This indicates a 26.48% increase from the previous year.Netflix, Inc. Price and Consensus Netflix, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Netflix, Inc. QuoteNFLX stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.Zacks' Research Chief Names "Stock Most Likely to Double"Our team of experts has just released the 5 stocks with the greatest probability of gaining +100% or more in the coming months. Of those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights the one stock set to climb highest.This top pick is a little-known satellite-based communications firm. Space is projected to become a trillion dollar industry, and this company's customer base is growing fast. Analysts have forecasted a major revenue breakout in 2025. Of course, all our elite picks aren't winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks' Stocks Set to Double like Hims & Hers Health, which shot up +209%.Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners UpWant the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN): Free Stock Analysis Report Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): Free Stock Analysis Report The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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11:16Netflix OutperformBernstein Research
21.01.2026Netflix OutperformBernstein Research
21.01.2026Netflix NeutralGoldman Sachs Group Inc.
21.01.2026Netflix KaufenDZ BANK
21.01.2026Netflix BuyJefferies & Company Inc.
DatumRatingAnalyst
11:16Netflix OutperformBernstein Research
21.01.2026Netflix OutperformBernstein Research
21.01.2026Netflix KaufenDZ BANK
21.01.2026Netflix BuyJefferies & Company Inc.
08.01.2026Netflix BuyJefferies & Company Inc.
DatumRatingAnalyst
21.01.2026Netflix NeutralGoldman Sachs Group Inc.
05.12.2025Netflix Equal WeightBarclays Capital
18.11.2025Netflix NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
22.10.2025Netflix NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
18.08.2025Netflix NeutralJP Morgan Chase & Co.
DatumRatingAnalyst
19.04.2023Netflix SellGoldman Sachs Group Inc.
20.01.2023Netflix SellGoldman Sachs Group Inc.
18.11.2022Netflix SellGoldman Sachs Group Inc.
11.10.2022Netflix SellGoldman Sachs Group Inc.
20.07.2022Netflix SellGoldman Sachs Group Inc.

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